{"id":124334,"date":"2026-03-12T06:02:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T06:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/?p=124334"},"modified":"2026-03-12T06:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T06:02:52","slug":"la-guerre-au-moyen-orient-jusquou-cinq-scenarios-possibles-de-la-chute-du-regime-iranien-a-lenlisement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/?p=124334","title":{"rendered":"La guerre au Moyen-Orient, jusqu\u2019o\u00f9\u00a0? Cinq sc\u00e9narios possibles, de la chute du r\u00e9gime iranien \u00e0 l\u2019enlisement"},"content":{"rendered":"<div auto_robot_readability=\"54.018765432099\">\n            <!-- partials\/article\/actions\/toolbar --><\/p>\n<div class=\"article__share d-flex align-items-center py-24 border-bottom  mb-32\" style=\"--border-color:#D9D9D9;\">\n<div class=\"d-flex flex-wrap gap-16\" auto_robot_readability=\"5.4705882352941\">\n<p>          <!-- partials\/article\/actions\/gift.volt --><\/p>\n<p>          <!-- partials\/article\/actions\/comment.volt --><\/p>\n<p>  <button data-article-key=\"20260311.OBS113084\" aria-label=\"Lire\u00a0plus\u00a0tard\" data-section=\"Monde\" data-piano=\"Page_Article,Sous_date_publi,A_lire_plus_tard,1er_clic,action\" class=\"popover-trigger btn--tertiary btn--icon-only btn btn--small btn--secondary read-later\"><br \/>\n    <i class=\"icon  icon-read-after\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><br \/>\n          <span class=\"latino-300r mt-2 \"><br \/>\n        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\/>\n    <\/button>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>          <!-- app\/web\/views\/partials\/article\/actions\/subscribe.volt --><\/p>\n<p>            <span data-urlencode=\"L2Fib25uZW1lbnQtbXVuaWNpcGFsZXMtMjAyNg==\" data-piano=\"Page_Article,Sous_date_publi,S_abonner_Municipales2026,1er_clic,action\" data-batch=\"clic_s_abonner\" class=\"btn btn--small btn--conversion-secondary\" style=\"--btn-color:#FFF;--btn-color-hover:#FFF;--btn-bg:#522DF7;--btn-bg-hover:#522DF7;--btn-bg-focus:#522DF7;--btn-border-color:#522DF7;\"><br \/>\n      S\u2019abonner pour lire    <\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>            <!-- partials\/article\/hook_description --><\/p>\n<p class=\"article__description latino-800m my-24\" data-oncrawl-chapo-length=\"342\">\n  \t  <span class=\"text-grey-500\">D\u00e9cryptage\u00a0<\/span><br \/>\n    En attaquant l\u2019Iran le 28\u00a0f\u00e9vrier, Isra\u00ebl et les Etats\u2011Unis esp\u00e9raient faire tomber la R\u00e9publique islamique ou la vassaliser. Ils ont surtout d\u00e9clench\u00e9 un conflit majeur qui embrase le Liban, menace toute la r\u00e9gion et pourrait avoir des r\u00e9percussions mondiales. A moins que Donald Trump d\u00e9cide soudain de se retirer de ce bourbier.<\/p>\n<p>            <!-- partials\/article\/contextual_blocks.volt --><\/p>\n<p class=\"latino-500b text-grey-600\">Pour aller plus loin<\/p>\n<p>        <!-- partials\/article\/node.volt --><br \/>\n<!-- partials\/article\/node_text.volt --><\/p>\n<p class=\"node__paragraphe antonia-750r text-grey-800 pb-24 pb-md-32\">\nDimanche 8\u00a0mars, sous le soleil de Miami, Donald Trump est retourn\u00e9 jouer au golf\u2026 avec la\u2009casquette \u00ab\u202fUSA\u202f\u00bb qu\u2019il arborait la veille lors de l\u2019hommage aux six premiers militaires am\u00e9ricains tu\u00e9s dans sa guerre contre l\u2019Iran. Quelques heures plus tard, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nouvelobs.com\/economie\/20260309.OBS113047\/flambee-du-petrole-la-classe-moyenne-en-subira-le-plus-directement-les-consequences.html\">le prix du baril de p\u00e9trole d\u00e9passait 100\u00a0dollars<\/a>, au plus haut depuis 2022, et un septi\u00e8me soldat trouvait la mort. Interrog\u00e9 sur ces cons\u00e9quences pr\u00e9visibles de l\u2019op\u00e9ration Fureur \u00e9pique lanc\u00e9e le 28\u00a0f\u00e9vrier, le\u2009pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain s\u2019agace\u2009\u00a0: <em>\u00ab\u202fLes\u2009prix du p\u00e9trole \u00e0\u2009court terme <\/em>[&#8230;] <em>sont un prix tr\u00e8s faible \u00e0 payer pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des\u2009Etats-Unis et du monde. Seuls les imb\u00e9ciles penseraient autrement\u2009\u00a0!\u202f\u00bb<\/em> Quant \u00e0\u2009la mort de soldats am\u00e9ricains, il\u2009balaie\u2009\u00a0: <em>\u00ab\u202fIl\u2009y en aura probablement d\u2019autres avant que cela ne se\u2009termine, c\u2019est\u2009ainsi.\u202f\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n<p>            <!-- partials\/article\/node.volt --><br \/>\n<!-- partials\/article\/node_text.volt --><\/p>\n<p class=\"node__paragraphe antonia-750r text-grey-800 pb-8\">\nFrustr\u00e9 de voir le r\u00e9gime islamiste r\u00e9sister au lieu de s\u2019effondrer comme un ch\u00e2teau de cartes, Trump semble d\u00e9j\u00e0 se d\u00e9sint\u00e9resser de l\u2019incendie qu\u2019il vient d\u2019allumer pour concentrer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nouvelobs.com\/chroniques\/20260310.OBS113074\/en-pleine-guerre-contre-l-iran-trump-menace-deja-cuba.html\">ses menaces sur Cuba<\/a>. <em>\u00ab\u202fJe pense que la guerre <\/em>[en Iran] <em>est finie, quasiment\u202f\u00bb<\/em>, a-t-il m\u00eame dit lundi 9\u00a0mars \u00e0 la ch\u2026<\/p>\n<p>            <!-- app\/web\/views\/partials\/walls\/paywall-web.volt --><\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall2025 d-flex flex-column mb-8 flash-offer\" auto_robot_readability=\"7\">\n<div class=\"oreillette d-flex justify-content-center align-items-center py-4 rounded-top-15\" auto_robot_readability=\"32\">\n<p class=\"latino-100m text-blue-400\">Article r\u00e9serv\u00e9 aux abonn\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>              <span class=\"latino-100m ps-8 text-decoration-underline text-blue-400\" style=\"cursor: pointer;\" data-piano=\"paywall_Municipales26_anonymes,,,se_connecter,navigation\" data-urlencode=\"aHR0cHM6Ly9zZWMubm91dmVsb2JzLmNvbS9zZnVzZXIvY29ubmV4aW9uP3JlZGlyZWN0aW9uVXJsPWh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGd3d3Lm5vdXZlbG9icy5jb20lMkZtb25kZSUyRjIwMjYwMzExLk9CUzExMzA4NCUyRmxhLWd1ZXJyZS1hdS1tb3llbi1vcmllbnQtanVzcXUtb3UtY2lucS1zY2VuYXJpb3MtcG9zc2libGVzLWRlLWxhLWNodXRlLWR1LXJlZ2ltZS1hLWwtZW5saXNlbWVudC5odG1s\"><br \/>\n        Se connecter      <\/span>\n      <\/div>\n<div class=\"paywall-body d-flex flex-column flex-grow-1 justify-content-center p-8 p-md-16 rounded-bottom-15\" auto_robot_readability=\"32\">\n<p class=\"title text-center antonia-1850c\" style=\"margin-bottom:4px;\">Offre sp\u00e9ciale<\/p>\n<p class=\"description pb-8 pb-md-16 antonia-800c text-center\">Tous nos contenus exclusifs en acc\u00e8s illimit\u00e9<\/p>\n<div class=\"d-flex flex-wrap flex-column column-gap-16 justify-content-center align-items-center\">\n<div class=\"actions d-flex flex-column flex-md-row gap-8 gap-md-16 justify-content-center align-items-center w-100 pb-8 pb-md-16\">\n                  <span class=\"latino-100b latino-lg-300b btn btn--large btn--conversion-primary main-cta\" style=\"line-height:1;text-align:center!important;\" onclick=\"return window.pa.sendEvent('self_promotion.click', {&#10; 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Ils ont surtout d\u00e9clench\u00e9 un conflit majeur qui embrase le Liban, menace toute la r\u00e9gion et pourrait avoir des r\u00e9percussions mondiales. A [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":124335,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[],"coauthors":[77],"class_list":["post-124334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=124334"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124334\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/124335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=124334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=124334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=124334"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pressactu.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=124334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}